Teaching Bayes’ Theorem: Strength of Evidence as Predictive Accuracy

landslide susceptibility zonation with bayes’ theorem (weight of evidence) (case study: siyahrood catchment)

introduction: landslides are amongst the most damaging geologic hazards in the world. they pose a threat to the safety of humankind lives as well as the environment, resources and property. compared with other natural hazards such as volcanic eruptions and floods, landslides cause considerable damage to human beings and massive economic losses (guzzetti, 2005). according to preliminary estimates...

Teaching information mastery: the case of baby Jeff and the importance of Bayes' theorem.

the significance of conjunction as a cohesive device in teaching writing

the research questions were as follows: 1. is there any relationship between the students concious awareness of the form and implications of the conjuncations and their improvement in using appropriate conjunctions? 2. does students knowledge of the from and the implications of the conjunctions help them to produce more coherent writings. 3. does a comparison between english conjunctions and th...

the effect of teaching reading as whole text task and paragraph task on efl learners speaking

abstract the present study was conducted to investigate the effectiveness of a rather newly developed method in language teaching that is the use of paragraph reading task and whole reading task and their effects on improving efl learner’s speaking ability. to fulfill the purpose of the study, first 90 participants studying their course at sa eedi high school in tehran were chosen by means of ...

Bayes Theorem for Improper Priors

Improper priors are used frequently, but often formally and without reference to a sound theoretical basis. A consequence is the occurrence of seemingly paradoxical results. The most famous example is perhaps given by the marginalization paradoxes presented by Stone and Dawid (1972). It is demonstrated here that the seemingly paradoxical results are removed by a more careful formulation of the ...